Tuesday, November 8, 2022

Predictions Are Hard - 2022 Edition

Predictions are actually easy; it's accurate predictions that are hard.  I'm only going to make inaccurate predictions today, since I haven't paid any attention to polling this year.

Senate - 47 D+I, 53 R

House - 208 D, 227 R 

Update 2022-12-07:

Senate - 51 D+I, 49 R

House - 213 D, 222 R 

Better than I expected!  That will teach me to not be lazy, if I ever get around to learning the lesson.

The loss of the House is a big blow, but the Dems over-performed relative to the baseline.  And a gain of one Senator will not only prevent a flood of shitty bills emanating from Congress, it will diminish the power of any narcissistic Dems who would annoint themselves co-President.